The Swedish approach to the COVID-19 crisis stands out compared to the rest of the developed world in several ways. One of these is the extremely low percentage of the population wearing face masks.
Continue reading “The Danish face mask study”Month: November 2020
The curious incident of infected young people
Around the middle of July 2020, the Italian National Institute of Health released statistics on the Covid-19 situation in the country, and it appeared that a substantial number of confirmed cases were concentrated in 19 to 50 year olds, making up 47% of the total, and the average age of those who tested positive was 46 years old — compared to 61 at the beginning of the pandemic. Should we conclude younger people are more likely to get infected today? Possibly yes, but it depends.
Continue reading “The curious incident of infected young people”Pandemic and Statistics Marriage: Happy or not? Can we make it work?
The world is immersed in the worst cataclysm of the last 100 years. The quality of the data and the transparency of the methods worldwide is key to solve it. The International Statistical Institute (ISI) may have a leading role in their improvement.
Continue reading “Pandemic and Statistics Marriage: Happy or not? Can we make it work?”Uncertainty and prediction
A Danish proverb asserts that Prediction is hard – especially about the future. Prediction is especially hard when it comes to describing uncertainty. Today, the US votes (or finishes voting) on the next President, and there is a lot of interest in forecasting, formal or informal.
Continue reading “Uncertainty and prediction”