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Where will the rocket land?

“No, you are almost certainly not going to be hit by a 10-story, 23-ton piece of a rocket hurtling back to Earth. That said, the chances are not zero.”  Thus The New York Times on May 6 writing about the impending reentry of the first stage of the Chinese CZ-5B rocket, which had been launched the day before to test a spacecraft prototype.  Unlike most rockets sent into orbit these days, which are designed to either burn up in the atmosphere or land in the ocean, this rocket stage would experience an “uncontrolled re-entry” and crash in an unknown location.

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Where will the rocket land?
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Would you take that vaccine?

While most state leaders worldwide are busy securing a supply of COVID-19 vaccines, almost half of the Filipinos are reluctant to get vaccinated according to Pulse Asia Survey conducted from November 23 to December 2, 2020. This is a bit higher than the September 2020 report from Social Weather Stations survey showing only about 31% of Filipinos would refuse COVID-19 vaccines. 

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Would you take that vaccine?
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Stochastic statistics education: Randomly making the world a better place

This is a post about a bad idea leading to a good one.

The bad idea: stochastic terrorism. I stumbled on a new term recently in an article shared by a friend, “stochastic terrorism.”  Like any good statistician, I was fascinated (and a bit terrified).  What could it mean?  

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Stochastic statistics education: Randomly making the world a better place
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To bike or not to bike … in a group?

As the world waits for the vaccine, many people wonder what activities are safe to help pass the time. I am the same, wondering if it is safe to bike outside in a group or not. 

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To bike or not to bike … in a group?
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Uncertainty and prediction

A Danish proverb asserts that Prediction is hard – especially about the future. Prediction is especially hard when it comes to describing uncertainty. Today, the US votes (or finishes voting) on the next President, and there is a lot of interest in forecasting, formal or informal.

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Uncertainty and prediction